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Using Delphi method for expert consensus
Delphi method is a structured method of gathering and evaluating the opinions of a group of experts. It is often used to gather consensus on a specific topic or to make predictions about future events. The method is particularly useful when the subject matter is complex or when there is a lack of available data.
The Delphi method typically involves the following steps:
Identification of the experts: A group of experts with relevant knowledge and experience on the topic of interest is selected.
Questionnaire development: A questionnaire is developed that addresses the topic of interest and is distributed to the experts.
Initial round of responses: The experts complete the questionnaire and return their responses.
Summary of responses: The responses are summarized and presented to the experts in a feedback report.
Second round of responses: The experts are given the opportunity to revise their responses based on the feedback report.
Summary of final responses: The final responses are summarized and presented to the experts.
Consensus: The experts reach a consensus on the topic of interest.
The Delphi method has several advantages. It allows experts to remain anonymous, which can reduce the influence of personal biases and increase the willingness of experts to provide honest opinions. Additionally, the method allows for a wide range of opinions to be considered and for the opinions of a diverse group of experts to be integrated.
However, the Delphi method also has some limitations. It can be time-consuming and expensive, and the selection of experts may be biased. Additionally, the method relies on the expertise of the individuals selected, and the results may be affected if the experts do not have sufficient knowledge or experience on the topic of interest.
In summary, the Delphi method is a structured method for gathering and evaluating the opinions of a group of experts. It is useful for gathering consensus on complex or poorly understood topics and for making predictions about future events. However, the method has some limitations, such as the potential for bias in the selection of experts and the reliance on the expertise of the individuals selected.
Using Delphi method for expert consensus
RUBRIC
Excellent Quality 95-100%
Introduction 45-41 points
The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned.
Literature Support 91-84 points
The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned.
Methodology 58-53 points
Content is well-organized with headings for each slide and bulleted lists to group related material as needed. Use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. to enhance readability and presentation content is excellent. Length requirements of 10 slides/pages or less is met.
Average Score 50-85%
40-38 points More depth/detail for the background and significance is needed, or the research detail is not clear. No search history information is provided.
83-76 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is little integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are included. Summary of information presented is included. Conclusion may not contain a biblical integration.
52-49 points Content is somewhat organized, but no structure is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. is occasionally detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met.
Poor Quality 0-45%
37-1 points The background and/or significance are missing. No search history information is provided.
75-1 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is no integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are not included in the summary of information presented. Conclusion does not contain a biblical integration.
48-1 points There is no clear or logical organizational structure. No logical sequence is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects etc. is often detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met
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